Saturday 23 April Man City v Stoke - Home Aston Villa v Southampton - Away Bournemouth v Chelsea - Draw Liverpool v Newcastle - Home Sunderland v Arsenal - Away Leicester v Swansea - Home Tottenham v West Brom - Home
7 points between us Quest and 3 more weekends of games. Hopefully I will still be in the chase at the end.
Weekend 23.04.16 Man City v Stoke - Home win Aston Villa v Southampton - Home win Bournemouth v Chelsea - Away win Liverpool v Newcastle - Home win Sunderland v Arsenal - Away win Leicester v Swansea - Home win Tottenham v West Brom - Home win
Out of interest, I had a quick look at last years "table" from the same time period:
KES …...162 PRK …..160 RIB …151 KARL ….Defending champion….. 144 UTV …. 135 GARY …. 111
and yes, generally we are all worse this season.
Morning all. Just checking in on old haunts
I think there is a perfectly logical reason for this. This season has seen many upsets. In previous seasons, Man U, Man C and Chelsea were seen as, and generally lived up to their reputation.
This season, they have been all over the place, especially in the first few months. Meanwhile, at the 'other end' (in theory), Leicester have been persistently winning. My guess is that many thought "This can't go on" and predicted accordingly - and got it wrong.
Poor old UTV, of course, always wants to look on the bright side for the Villa - not a good strategy for winning this league when they are on 16 points (:
Wow, a mighty 1, at least i managed to score a point and the big 0 is still yet to be had
A 1 is more difficult to score than a 9. You have scored the second most difficult score to get, beside a 10 lol
That's an interesting assertion, Quest. Could you explain why?
For a start, one could predict absurd scores for, say, seven games (like 0-10 home defeats) and then three "genuine" attempts - and the chances are, after a week or two, you would get a one. (and a zero too!).
But, omitting such an intentional effort, I still feel that it's statistically incorrect. I believe it is more difficult to get a 9 than a 1 ..... but, the more I think about it, the more I am unsure how to prove it.
Maybe I wasn't entirely clear. The assumption was our competition here where we are targeting a high number. Under these circumstances it is more difficult to get a 1. Or maybe should I say rarer I have done that calculation three years ago: visitcroatia.proboards.com/post/84457/thread Not sure how much of that I remember. If all teams were equally strong, home and away, it would be equally likely to get a 1 or 9. The same for 0 and 10 and so on. But since they are not, it is more likely to get the higher number.
Saturday 30 April Everton v Bournemouth - Draw Newcastle v Crystal Palace - Home Stoke v Sunderland - Away Watford v Aston Villa - Home West Brom v West Ham - Away Arsenal v Norwich - Home Swansea v Liverpool - Away Man Utd v Leicester - Draw Southampton v Man City - Away Chelsea v Tottenham – Home (cannot believe I am predicting a Chelsea win)
Saturday 30 April Everton v Bournemouth - h Newcastle v Crystal Palace - h Stoke v Sunderland - d Watford v Aston Villa - h West Brom v West Ham - d Arsenal v Norwich - h Swansea v Liverpool - a Man Utd v Leicester - h Southampton v Man City - d Chelsea v Tottenham – d