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Post by MartinM on Feb 23, 2016 20:20:20 GMT 1
Any thoughts about how this may affect Brits living in Croatia?
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Post by Ribaric on Feb 24, 2016 10:38:09 GMT 1
I'm fairly confident it isn't going to happen. When you see the 'leave' campaign headed up by Gove, BoJo, Galloway and IDS, I can't see many people following their lead. Given that every influential political party, every major trades union, all the business organisations and the government of the day are advocating 'remain' plus the prospect of Scotland, Wales and, perhaps NI, leaving the union to re-join the EU as separate states, then it must be a done deal. Surely?
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Post by Carol on Feb 24, 2016 15:05:36 GMT 1
I don't think it will happen either. If it does though, then it will be just like it was 4 years ago for a Brit living in Croatia.
As far as i can see the two big things that are going to influence it is people's uncertainty of what life will be like on the other side of Brexit (Project Fear seems to be the working name for the strategy to play upon these doubts) and the migrant crisis mixed with events like what happened in cologne (and other German cities and Sweden etc).
If the refugees don't come in very large numbers until after the referendum and the ones that are here in the EU already behave according to European sensibilities, then it will be a vote to stay in. If something happens just before people have to cast their votes, then their could be a sudden big swing towards leave.
At the moment its about 50% stay, 40% leave and 10% don't know. I suspect that a lot of the leave voters will convert when they actually get into the polling booth.
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Post by Carol on Feb 24, 2016 15:07:49 GMT 1
An ISIS attack in the UK, would swing it towards a leave vote.
Boris Johnson though is a major asset to the leave campaign. He managed to get elected twice in multi-cultural, left-leaning London by sheer force of personality.
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Post by polly on Feb 24, 2016 15:54:20 GMT 1
Recently saw something about ex pats' pensions being affected. Sorry, I didn't read in depth it's possibly by the cuts rather than coming out of the EU but if on a pension you need to get up to date on what the government are up to.
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Post by Ribaric on Feb 26, 2016 10:18:51 GMT 1
Recently saw something about ex pats' pensions being affected. Sorry, I didn't read in depth it's possibly by the cuts rather than coming out of the EU but if on a pension you need to get up to date on what the government are up to. The UK OAP scheme is being "simplified" to a flat rate for everyone of, currently, £145 per week, it starts April 1st 2016. If your pension is/would be more than this, it will be reduced to £145. However, if your pension is/will be less than the flat rate, it won't be made up. Heads they win, tails you lose - seems to apply here. The income tax agreement between the UK and Croatia, as far as it concerns UK pensioners living here in HR, seems to be that HR residents must pay the Croatian rate of tax but the UK gets the first 12%, HR gets the rest. The reverse is also true but I doubt any HR pensioners are living in the UK, they'd have starved by now. |
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